Saturday, July 21, 2007

Evolving Ranking #2: Keeping it simple, stupid

Last time, in this quest to create the perfect system of ranking soccer teams, I ordered CONCACAF's member nations on the basis of the number of points accrued in a two year period, based on 3 points for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss. I'm keeping it simple for now.

In order not to reward teams, like some Caribbean nations, who play an inordinate number of games against minnows, I've divided the total points gained by the number of games played, which produces the following:

Rk Country Pts/Gm
1 Guyana 2.64
2 USA 2.32
3 Honduras 2.11
4 Haiti 1.82
5 Mexico 1.69
6 Costa Rica 1.65
7 Barbados 1.62
8 Canada 1.58
9 Cuba 1.50
10 Jamaica 1.50
11 St. Vincent/Grenadines 1.43
12 Suriname 1.40
13 Trinidad and Tobago 1.40
14 St. Kitts and Nevis 1.33
15 Antigua and Barbuda 1.27
16 Bermuda 1.25
17 Panama 1.09
18 Bahamas 1.00
19 Dominican Republic 1.00
20 Turks and Caicos Islands 1.00
21 Guatemala 0.92
22 El Salvador 0.79
23 Nicaragua 0.75
24 Grenada 0.50
25 Netherlands Antilles 0.33
26 Anguilla 0.00
27 Belize 0.00
28 Cayman Islands 0.00
29 Dominica 0.00
30 St. Lucia 0.00
31 US Virgin Islands 0.00
32 Aruba n/a
33 British Virgin Islands n/a
34 Montserrat n/a
35 Puerto Rico n/a

While Mexico's position comes closer to there actual strength relative to the rest of CONCACAF, Guyana (!) tops the rankings due to strong results in all matches except those that would have qualified them for the regional championship, the Gold Cup.

If any problems are solved by taking this step after the first one, just as many are created. So, back to the drawing board, I suppose.

See also:
Evolving Ranking #1: The Straight Dope

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