Wednesday, April 13, 2011

FIFA rankings: April

The new FIFA rankings are out and, for Canada, there's good news and bad news.

The good: Canada is up 9 spots to 75th overall and now sits 7th among CONCACAF teams.

The bad: According to this guy, who is some kind of rankings savant, Canada is projected to be ranked 12th in CONCACAF when the July rankings come out. These rankings are expected to be used for the seeding of World Cup Qualifying draw.

Canada's big drop is because the mostly favourable results of the 2007 Gold Cup will be coming off the books in July. The 12th placed seeding is based on projected results in the remaining matches for CONCACAF teams, so it is imperative that Canada exceed expectations at the Gold Cup if they wish to reach the top 6, which would pave the way for a less complicated qualification. Particularly since one of Canada's group stage matches is against non-FIFA sanctioned Guadeloupe, which will provide no rankings points.

If you're like me, you're not too wrapped up in all of this since Canada will eventually need to beat the likes of Costa Rica, Panama, and Jamaica (the current #4-6 in CONCACAF) to qualify, and which round it takes place is of little import.

But if you like to obsess, it's time to start worrying.

2 comments:

Pompey Canuck said...

This is why it is an absolute joke that the FIFA rankings are the determining factor in the World Cup Qualifying draw. Especially since CONCACAF allows Guadelope to compete in the Gold Cup. As Guadelope is not a member of FIFA, what ever the result Canada gets against them will not count towards our FIFA ranking. CONCACAF needs to force Guadelope to join FIFA or develop a CONCACAF ranking system separate to the FIFA system that is used to determine WCQ places.

Also we have fallen behind other nations like Jamaica and Panama. This is because they are able to compete in the Gold Cup Qualifying. Qualification matches count 2.5 times more than a friendly match. Canada is automatically placed in the Gold Cup so we miss out on these vital FIFA ranking points.

The system has to change to give all coutries an equal chance to gain points if that is the system that we are using to determine the placement for the WCQ.

J said...

Also we have fallen behind other nations like Jamaica and Panama. This is because they are able to compete in the Gold Cup Qualifying. Qualification matches count 2.5 times more than a friendly match. Canada is automatically placed in the Gold Cup so we miss out on these vital FIFA ranking points.

The system has to change to give all coutries an equal chance to gain points if that is the system that we are using to determine the placement for the WCQ.


This.

FIFA rankings are a bad system, but I could live with the inherent statistical flaws if there weren't structural problems within the regions that lead to inequity in the way points are accumulated.

But selfishly, I could live with Canada playing some early round minnows. Heck, Rob Friend might even score a goal!